Thursday, March 06, 2008

Cold Turkey 'Til Tuesday

I'm going to swear off politics for a week. To my mind the dynamisms are set and nothing remains that's interesting until something happens new, some unexpected event, or perhaps just the time necessary for things to get complex again.

Obama has lost his messiahship. From now on it's just a bit of a hack against a part of a horse. The horse in the end will win. I could say though, that calling Obama Ken Starr won't work because Obama is not a Republican. Only Republican charges are dismissed. Obama will bring up the same charges from the past --where Hillary has been "vetted" and passed-- and in fact she won't pass now but will be damaged. And Obama is going to start looking very Chicago.

On the Republican side McCain has an immense opportunity to frame the debate to his advantage. He's got a chance to look almost co-presidential. And that Bush is a drag is nonsense. Bush is a real likable guy. Probably 80% or Republicans like him, that's a real plus for the man who hopes to take over. People who don't like him mainly don't like the world "he's left us". jBut after he's gone, same world. Most people are sane enough to recognize that and are going to want the man who can best deal with the same problems. It is true that means more war, and whether the majority of the public will accept that or not I don't know.

I of course have a strong interest in seeing just how McCain decides to use Huck.

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