Tuesday, February 12, 2008

Final Fateful Fight Finished

This from Drudge, top of the page:
In the Chesapeake Rout, according to exit polls in Maryland, Obama won:
Latino Voters By Six Points: 53-47
All Religions (Including Catholics)
All Age Groups (Including Seniors)
All Regions
All Education Levels
And Women by TWENTY ONE POINTS...
Hill fought, failed, and is out. My opinion. There's this comment from RCP Election Thread:
11:09PM - The RCP delegate count on the Dem side is: Obama 1231, Clinton 1196.... if Obama carries Wisconsin next week, the pressure on Clinton to end it will grow tremendously. She's trying to hang on until March 4, when Texas and Ohio vote, but almost no one in the party wants this thing to go to the convention. If Clinton can keep it close, using her superdelegates to take the nomination might be tolerable. But if it isn't close, Clinton risks being seen as stealing the nomination, which would tear the party apart. - BLAKE DVORAK

First time I've heard anyone call for Clinton to drop out. Warms my cockles.

-----------------
And it may be time for my guy Mike to drop out. It's true that if he drops out social conservatives lose a voice, but a nine point loss in his closest state just doesn't cut it. What impresses me exceptionally is this: I've looked everywhere for his concession speech and I can't find it! Has the media already so far forgotten him that they don't even note his speech? I'm not sure. Maybe he hasn't given one. Maybe he's planning a special speech tomorrow. But the point is, if Huck can't get media he doesn't have a campaign. If he's not noticed anymore he might as well be Ducan Hunter.

I note the CBS current delegate count:
MCCAIN 790
HUCKABEE 199
ROMNEY 166
PAUL 10
THOMPSON 3

These counts have a way of morphing all over the place, but by this count he is already the second most important man in the race. And he will get more delegates from Washington and Louisiana when they're finally apportioned, a lot. And he does do very well in caucus states, and there are many yet upcoming. Possibly he could just suspend his campaign --he's still on the ballot-- and his supporters could continue the good fight. If there's a message they don't need a candidate, they only need a voice, and if they can continue to get delegates for Mike he still is their voice.

It seems a possibility. In this way the party could begin to coalesce around one candidate --McCain-- at the same time as a message could be sent. And Huck, as an individual, would not be blamed for and would not be responsible for creating divisions due to simple personal ambition.

If he does stay in, without media attention, there is a possibility for great failure. If Huck is humiliated social conservatives lose their greatest champion.

I'm sure he's aware of all these considerations, and many more. We'll see what he does.

0 Comments:

Post a Comment

<< Home