Huckabee Wins!
West Virginia --
Note: Both men spoke, Romney and Huck. Huck, a much brighter man than Mitt, was the more convincing, and won. And note: McCain delegates switched, not to Romney, but to Huck, contrary to what just about every pundit would have said --a group, by the way, at least on the conservative side, who are decidedly not bright. Stunningly stupid people, these people on the right, people just a month ago that I used to listen to.
So, feeling good, I predict: This is a trend. Huck will win every state in the union!... Or maybe not.
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7:05
Not much in yet and I gotta go do animal duties in a minute.
--Huck seems to be doing better in the South than his earlier poll numbers, which was my prediction.
--Obama is doing very well, which was everyone's prediction, though he may be doing even better than that.
--The Romney camp (and supporters) are claiming dirty backroom dealing on McCain's part in Huck's win in West Virginia. I didn't predict that but could have.
--Note: The only thing that interests me on the Democrat side is that Hillary be embarrassed. If she's embarrassed I think in the following primaries she'll be defeated. I think that because I think even most Democrats are sick of both her and her husband. It would be a splendid cleansing of the American political scene if the human waste that are the Clintons were swept out by the Democrats themselves. There would be a finality to it. --As for my Republican interests I think Obama is beatable, because I think "change" mainly means "No more Clintons". If Hillary is beaten the simple mantra "change" won't resonate so much anymore, it's "mission accomplished". So Barack will have to add something more --specifics-- and once he adds specifics he'll no longer seem quite so exciting. --(Two reasons: Specifics are never as exciting as something glorious and vague; and specifics are always going to offend some people.)
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I'll post this just for fun. From RCP
Doesn't appear he's going to sweep the entire union. Oh well... Alabama, Arkansas, West Viginia... Could win Tennessee, maybe Georgia. Missouri is close. I think that's it, except for maybe some delegates from California.
---------------------
And this is fun:
Ann should spank herself, Rush should place his face under a big concrete block, and "conservatives" who are warning that McCain better nice-nice up to them while he's still got a chance really ought to apologize to him and Huck while they yet retain some credibility with the American Republican voter. To pick a phrase from the aether: tantrum babies with delicate egos do not gravitas express. --I had no idea Huck was doing well in Arizona.
And this is fun; From Bill Bradley:
And there are massive numbers of posts on The Corner discussing all that McCain has to do... to regain the support of people who don't matter. The reference to Arizona above has to be a mistake, the numbers I just saw were McCain/Romney 36%/36%, Huck 7%. --Note: Bradley doesn't like Romney any more than I do.
--Note on Arizona. Arkansas is abbreviated AR. It got translated as Arizona. Arizona is abbreviated AZ.
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Tennessee, Missouri, and Georgia have been called for Huckabee. He's already won Alabama, Arkansas and West Virginia. He came in second in Oklahoma. I think that's it for him. Romney has won Massachusetts and Utah, North Dakota and Montana. I think McCain has all the rest, though California and Alaska may not come through until tomorrow. Forgot about Minnesota. That will go Romney.
Huck had this to say:
I rather like that. In delegates McCain will have a huge lead, it's possible Huck will end up with more than Mitt. They'll be very close.
So the night has turned out about the way I'd predicted... Using my sophisticated tools of analysis: Huck is a nice guy, McCain is honorable, and Romney is a jerk.
Democrats seem about even. That should be enough to be an embarrassment for Hillary. --A little later I'll comment on the twit world of the conservative twilight elite. May they fade from view.
---------------
03:55AM
Having taken a substantial break, I now return to my labor of entertainment. It is my cross and my duty...
--And though I've read a lot my duty is not extensive. McCain, slightly to my disappointment, pulled out a squeaker over Huck in Missouri, that's 58 delegates Huck won't be getting so Romney will clearly best him tonight in the delegate count. However, McCain will win over twice as many as Mitt, which is very good news. McCain, by-the-way, won California, Mitt's fallback state, by 13% at last count.
--Hillary, unfortunately, also won California by a similar amount. But the good news is that Barack won more states overall and appears to have won more delegates. That is an embarrassment to Hillary, though it appears she's still going to claim front-runner status --which appears to be just fine with Obama, who has already declared that he's still the underdog.
--Looks like the nomination is McCain's, though Huck is going to stay in yet for sure --why not? he did splendidly well and he seems to be able to run effectively with no money at all; and running he'll still be able to take potshots at Romney, which will help McCain. --Romney says he's going to stay in but at some point it should occur to him to be embarrassed.
--Political spin tomorrow. I sure hope some of the leaders of the right pretty soon start feeling some embarrassment, and dump on themselves a bit and not McCain.
CHARLESTON, W.Va. (AP) - Mike Huckabee won the first contest declared on Super Tuesday, picking up all 18 national delegates awarded at West Virginia's state GOP convention. Huckabee bested Mitt Romney, who entered the Mountain State event with the largest bloc of pledged convention-goers. Both men and Ron Paul made in-person appeals to the more than 1,100 convention delegates attending Tuesday's convention.
But the former Arkansas governor beat his Massachusetts counterpart after delegates for John McCain defected to his side.
Note: Both men spoke, Romney and Huck. Huck, a much brighter man than Mitt, was the more convincing, and won. And note: McCain delegates switched, not to Romney, but to Huck, contrary to what just about every pundit would have said --a group, by the way, at least on the conservative side, who are decidedly not bright. Stunningly stupid people, these people on the right, people just a month ago that I used to listen to.
So, feeling good, I predict: This is a trend. Huck will win every state in the union!... Or maybe not.
--------------------
7:05
Not much in yet and I gotta go do animal duties in a minute.
--Huck seems to be doing better in the South than his earlier poll numbers, which was my prediction.
--Obama is doing very well, which was everyone's prediction, though he may be doing even better than that.
--The Romney camp (and supporters) are claiming dirty backroom dealing on McCain's part in Huck's win in West Virginia. I didn't predict that but could have.
--Note: The only thing that interests me on the Democrat side is that Hillary be embarrassed. If she's embarrassed I think in the following primaries she'll be defeated. I think that because I think even most Democrats are sick of both her and her husband. It would be a splendid cleansing of the American political scene if the human waste that are the Clintons were swept out by the Democrats themselves. There would be a finality to it. --As for my Republican interests I think Obama is beatable, because I think "change" mainly means "No more Clintons". If Hillary is beaten the simple mantra "change" won't resonate so much anymore, it's "mission accomplished". So Barack will have to add something more --specifics-- and once he adds specifics he'll no longer seem quite so exciting. --(Two reasons: Specifics are never as exciting as something glorious and vague; and specifics are always going to offend some people.)
-------------------
I'll post this just for fun. From RCP
8:35 PM - To add to Blake's last post,Huckabee is having a very good night which would seem to indicate that the"A Vote for Huck Is a Vote For McCain" line that was pushed hard by the rightwing talkers over the past week fell on deaf ears. - TOM BEVAN
8:30PM - Arkansas just closed. No surprise here: Huckabee and Clinton are the winners. What is noteworthy: Huckabee has won three states so far.- BLAKE DVORAK
Doesn't appear he's going to sweep the entire union. Oh well... Alabama, Arkansas, West Viginia... Could win Tennessee, maybe Georgia. Missouri is close. I think that's it, except for maybe some delegates from California.
---------------------
And this is fun:
9:13PM - A note to the media: Mike Huckabee is not dead. He's ahead narrowly in Missouri, has already won Arkansas, Alabama and West Virginia and looks competitive in Arizona. If today is a bad day for Mitt Romney, it's a great day for Huckabee. Of course, if the Republican race comes down to a McCain-Huckabee battle, Rush Limbaugh and Ann Coulter will be hurling themselves from windows later this evening. -REID WILSON
Ann should spank herself, Rush should place his face under a big concrete block, and "conservatives" who are warning that McCain better nice-nice up to them while he's still got a chance really ought to apologize to him and Huck while they yet retain some credibility with the American Republican voter. To pick a phrase from the aether: tantrum babies with delicate egos do not gravitas express. --I had no idea Huck was doing well in Arizona.
And this is fun; From Bill Bradley:
** WHO SHOULD DROP OUT? Let’s see.
Mike Huckabee has won Alabama, West Virginia, and Arkansas. He’s leading in Georgia and Tennessee. He’s getting big votes in other states. He’s doing better than Mitt Romney so far.
Who exactly should drop out?
And there are massive numbers of posts on The Corner discussing all that McCain has to do... to regain the support of people who don't matter. The reference to Arizona above has to be a mistake, the numbers I just saw were McCain/Romney 36%/36%, Huck 7%. --Note: Bradley doesn't like Romney any more than I do.
--Note on Arizona. Arkansas is abbreviated AR. It got translated as Arizona. Arizona is abbreviated AZ.
-------------------
Tennessee, Missouri, and Georgia have been called for Huckabee. He's already won Alabama, Arkansas and West Virginia. He came in second in Oklahoma. I think that's it for him. Romney has won Massachusetts and Utah, North Dakota and Montana. I think McCain has all the rest, though California and Alaska may not come through until tomorrow. Forgot about Minnesota. That will go Romney.
Huck had this to say:
"Over the past few days, a lot of people have been trying to say this is a two-man race, well, you know what, it is -- and we're in it!"
I rather like that. In delegates McCain will have a huge lead, it's possible Huck will end up with more than Mitt. They'll be very close.
So the night has turned out about the way I'd predicted... Using my sophisticated tools of analysis: Huck is a nice guy, McCain is honorable, and Romney is a jerk.
Democrats seem about even. That should be enough to be an embarrassment for Hillary. --A little later I'll comment on the twit world of the conservative twilight elite. May they fade from view.
---------------
03:55AM
Having taken a substantial break, I now return to my labor of entertainment. It is my cross and my duty...
--And though I've read a lot my duty is not extensive. McCain, slightly to my disappointment, pulled out a squeaker over Huck in Missouri, that's 58 delegates Huck won't be getting so Romney will clearly best him tonight in the delegate count. However, McCain will win over twice as many as Mitt, which is very good news. McCain, by-the-way, won California, Mitt's fallback state, by 13% at last count.
--Hillary, unfortunately, also won California by a similar amount. But the good news is that Barack won more states overall and appears to have won more delegates. That is an embarrassment to Hillary, though it appears she's still going to claim front-runner status --which appears to be just fine with Obama, who has already declared that he's still the underdog.
--Looks like the nomination is McCain's, though Huck is going to stay in yet for sure --why not? he did splendidly well and he seems to be able to run effectively with no money at all; and running he'll still be able to take potshots at Romney, which will help McCain. --Romney says he's going to stay in but at some point it should occur to him to be embarrassed.
--Political spin tomorrow. I sure hope some of the leaders of the right pretty soon start feeling some embarrassment, and dump on themselves a bit and not McCain.
posted by mouse at 2:45 PM
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