Florida

--Four man race.

--With Florida in the news for nine days, Rudy will be in the news for nine days. His numbers can't go down, they'll go up.

--He'll take votes from McCain.

--Huck will have his base. It may expand.

--Romney will play Reagan. He's a fake and unpleasant, but he will have a lot of advertising dollars.

--If Thompson stays in he'll take a little from everybody, but I would expect most from Romney. Mostly he'll embarrass himself.

--McCain won't have independents and not that much military. Anyway, a lot of military will go Giuliani.

--I doubt if these men will be ships in the night, they probably will confront each other, and in confrontation someone will be a victor. The confrontations will be the campaign.

--Romney will run attack adds. He can't help himself, he's Romney

--Some endorsements...? That could be part of the confrontation.

--The conservative punditry will maintain obsessive stupidity. They're becoming as relevant as MSM.

--Huck is the one guy who comes across as normal (followed by Guiliani) I wonder how many votes that brings in?

--Now that all the personalities are known, the confrontations will have much more force than just the words spoken.

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This Man Is Insane?

Before Huckabee's rise and McCain's comeback, it was thought this state might be Romney's. He spent more money in South Carolina than all the other Republicans combined.

But he gave up last week, leaving the state to campaign in Nevada (where fellow Mormons guaranteed him a state that other candidates ignored).

In South Carolina, Romney appeared likely to finish fourth in a virtual tie with third-place former Sen. Fred Thompson...

A bit more, and the conclusion:

This looks like a two-man race between Romney and McCain....

This man is insane.

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This man makes more sense...

Despite his fourth-place finish, Romney has to be considered the main threat to McCain going forward, given his resources and his ability to appeal to conservative Republicans. But Romney has yet to show he can win in states where he has stiff competition and where he doesn't have local ties. He won yesterday in Nevada, where no one else was competing, and last week in Michigan, where he grew up and his father was governor.

though I'm certain he found this hard to write.