Friday, January 25, 2008

Fight Night?

(Accidentally posted this in the wrong blog last night so repost it now.)

Debate is already underway, but I won't get it except through reading anyway, so I want to first put down some thought:

Could be a big one. The last debate before make-or-break Florida. It's make-or-break for Giuliani because he said so, and absolutely everyone takes him at his word, and so he has the most to gain. My own feeling is that if he can establish a sense of "being in control" he'll gain immensely because he'll be seen as a player who's sticking to his strategy and it's a strategy that's working. I'm convinced a lot of people like him yet, they just have lost faith that he's a contender.

Huck is not a contender. He's said as much, and seems to have accepted his role as a nitch player. As such, he has nothing to lose; as such, he should be really relaxed. That may make for some very fine wit.

McCain will probably be fairly relaxed. He's already established that he's a man who's going all the way, plus, I think to a degree he doesn't much care how he comes across. He has a message and I think it's true that he's telling the voter "Take it or leave it."

Mitt will be tense. He's always tense. And in fact he's in the same shape as Giuliani, this is make-or-break. Either he'll be seen as a man who can win a contested election, or he'll be seen as a man who can only buy organization and some votes.

There is the question of absent Fred. He does have enough of a following that it does matter how his supporters break, and I've heard every possible speculation on that except that they break for Giuliani.

How Huck's break, and how many is also a question, now that he's effectively conceded to also ran status.

And there will have to be a question about Rush, Florida resident and all that. I hope somebody has a dismissive joke. Rush is a pain-in-the-ass, a man who would destroy the party to maintain his Reaganesque purity.

(Don't know how to spell "Reagnesque" and don't have time to find out.)

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Geraghty casls it a snooze fest... Says Huckabee is likable and asks the most pointed question of Romney, something about the assualt gun ban. I read Geraghty first because he's the only one who has some respect for Huck.

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The gals at The Corner think Romney's cute...

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