This Is Interesting

From Fox News (my emphasis):

Lebanese officials reported a massing of troops and tanks near the Israeli town of Metulla further to the northeast, on the tip of the Galilee Panhandle near the Golan Heights, suggesting another incursion could begin soon.
Like Bint Jbail, the Lebanese town of Khiam just across the border from Metulla is one of the largest towns in the border zone. Khiam has been under intense bombardment in recent days — including a strike that hit a U.N. post nearby and killed four observers on Tuesday.
On Saturday, Israel made its closest strike to Hezbollah ally Syria yet. Warplanes hit the Lebanese side of a Syrian-Lebanese border crossing, forcing the closure of the main transit point for refugees fleeing and humanitarian aid entering Lebanon. Two more missiles hit the area early Sunday.

This looks like strategy to me, this could be the "trap". If Israel has finally decided to get serious a drive into this area would cut off the heavily dug in positions along the east/west northern border and allow Israel to come down behind and in back of Hizbollah. It could complete an encirclement (the west cordoned off by air power, a lot of bridges have been hit). If Hizbollah's main force has been drawn to the recent battles (Bint Jbail and Maroun Ras) then they're surrounded, can not escape or be reinforced, and Israel can destroy them at leisure, cease fire or no cease fire be damned.

This is very good, and very do-able as military strategy. Will they do it? If they do and it works it will be brilliant and decisive. Hizbollah will be slaughtered. I'm optimistic again. If Israel fights, they win.

UPDATE: Getting Giddy

I've been thinking about this for an hour now and it sure looks like strategy to me. It is possible Israel has suckered Hizbollah into a stand-up fight along the east/west border. If this is true the ineptitude all along was a feint and the strategy was brilliant. If this is true the assault should happen in hours.

This is the best I've felt for a week. The important thing is to have them in a bunch. If Hizbollah has been drawn to one spot --by the "heroic resistance" and by "victory"-- then if they can be cut off they're chopped liver. (To enforce the speed of the encirclement Khiam could be by-passed. Most of the armor could have been drawn from the Golan Heights, so the movement of force wouldn't have been evident).

Could be. Could be the attack. In war, attacks do happen. Man, do I hope it's true. This could be seat-of-the-pants daring, it could be just another probe, it could be a plan drawn up six years ago. But if it is something we will know very soon.

(2:35AM)