Wednesday, October 08, 2008

$2.89!

Gas $2.89 a gallon 88 octane unleaded at the dinkly little filling station just three blocks from my house. I knew economic times were getting better! That's 'cause Sarah's cute and McCain wants to build forty new nuclear power plants. That means in a few years we won't need oil, world demand will be cut 25% and crude will be nine bucks a barrel. People are scared already, that's why they're trying to back out of the market and prices are heading down.

I'm sure this is true. No one understands economics like I do.

As to the debate. I said the man who wins is the man who changes votes, no other metric matters, and I said I thought McCain won because in such financially tumultuous times, nobody wants to experiment with a kid, they want to go with the old geezer who's been around, they don't want change anymore, they want to get back to the way things were. So "Hope & Change" is one dead done slogan. McCain, just by being old, probably gained votes.

But another way of considering who won is to speak of who changed the conversation. I'm going to consider both the VP debate and this one, since they came so close together, and the financial meltdown, since that has been part of these debates, (all three, actually) in terms of the emotional focus, the sense of importance, that these debates have engendered, and it certainly explains Obama's rise in the polls as a reflexive anti-Republican statement.

I say this is a totally different race than it was just two weeks ago.

First, anti-Palin derangement is different. She can no longer be dismissed as a dope. A hick and a hayseed, yes, and a racist of course, but no dope. And she knows she won, and is enjoying herself, and is going pit-bull. This is going to be real interesting: a really good looking woman attacking Bambi and just loving it. She's going to draw a lot of fire --racist, racist, racist-- but I don't see how she's attacked without acknowledging her charges. How do you call somebody a racist if you don't repeat what they said? So this will be an examination of Bambi's character.

The market meltdown? I don't see McCain being blamed for that personally. I think he's inured from that blame simply because it's so large. Only Bush is big enough to be creditably to blame, and he's not running, and McCain fought him on the bailout. Very very publicly fought. There can be blame yet as to who caused it, but in fact it was caused by Democrats and their insistence on sub-primes. This is an argument we should have, and however much it might be spun, it's one the Democrats can't win on the merits.

So HopenChange is dead, and the Dems should be on the defensive over the meltdown. This last would be automatic if the press reported facts. Such facts will be hard to get out, but some facts will out. It's what happens when things are true. --And then there are New Expenditures. Ha! Can't fly, not in these times. That takes the goody bag away from Obama, though, fortunately, He is so marvelous he's going to insist he can still do what he said before. This should twist him in some nice pretzels.

And finally, the Messiah. What happened to the Messiah? I think that's dead too. Partly it's just because the hypnotic trance has been snapped by the collapse of the markets. The tones been done broke. People are rubbing their eyes, looking again, saying: "Hey, this guy's just a kid!" --Of course, those already infected will still believe, but nicely, that powerfully means the Big M himself. And that's a self-conception that's going to express itself once-in-awhile, and in these times it will appear nuts.

So, the conversation is different now. The big thing is that it's different. McCain and Sarah will hammer Policy and Character, and Obama's minions will all hammer race... One very interesting thing about this race business. People don't like being called racists. They don't like having to hide their views for fear of being called racist. They will, because they are afraid. But how afraid will they be in the voting booth?

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