Morning Maunder
Nearly 6:00 PM. Sometime yet before the caucus results come in. Don't actually know when they'll be reported. Decided to type up some notes I wrote as I got up.
--It is possible there will be some movement between McCain and Thompson. Huckabee will maintain his base. Some of the more philosophically inclined might move to Thompson; but ditto would be the movement from Romney, finding Thompson philosophically as acceptable, but more trustworthy and more likable.
--Independents seem to be going Democrat, so they won't change anything on the Republican side. Almost certainly bad news for Hill.
--Romney's crowds are reported small... It's recognized he hasn't created enthusiasm... It's recognized he's the one who's gone negative...?
--Weather will be cold but much more mild than the last five days. That advantages Obama, because he's stressing first time young voters, and to someone young weather suddenly 20 degrees warmer is Springtime; but for old ladies, Hillary's superior demographic, 20 degrees warmer still below freezing is still below freezing.
--Occurs to me I don't know the age demographics on the Republican side. I can't believe Mitt would appeal to young people...? He doesn't excite emotion. Grumpy John McCain would excite much more emotion.
--I wonder if Romney's supporters have a supreme arrogance that they're the best people? I just don't see how you can support him without having convinced yourself that you are very superior. That attitude could turn people off during the caucus.
--I wonder if Rush going negative on Huckabee had any influence? It's influence on me was an extreme contempt for Rush.
--These caucuses are a really big deal, though they're only a big deal if Romney and Hillary are wounded. If not, then it will be much like nothing has happened, and the two worst candidates in the world will remain center stage. --Actually, they have already been damaged, because they've both been shown as vulnerable. Still, a win is a win is a win.
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Drudge has a funny headline:
RESULTS:
Clinton 0; Obama 0; Edwards 0
Huckabee 0; Romney 0; McCain 0; Paul 0; Thompson 0; Giuliani 0
-----------
FromYuval Levin.
I don't know who he is or what his views are, but he posted this on The Corner (NRO). He was speaking of Romney:
Over all, the NRO writers are the premier group of Nuts For Romney
------------
Ha!
From Drudge, 8:47 PM
The world is good. These are projections, maybe Clinton will make second? McCain maybe third. But Romney won't make third, so I was off in that prediction, but he would have been third if the anti-Romney hadn't split between Thompson and McCain.
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Newest In:
8:55PM
Margins holding. Don't know where McCain went.
--It is possible there will be some movement between McCain and Thompson. Huckabee will maintain his base. Some of the more philosophically inclined might move to Thompson; but ditto would be the movement from Romney, finding Thompson philosophically as acceptable, but more trustworthy and more likable.
--Independents seem to be going Democrat, so they won't change anything on the Republican side. Almost certainly bad news for Hill.
--Romney's crowds are reported small... It's recognized he hasn't created enthusiasm... It's recognized he's the one who's gone negative...?
--Weather will be cold but much more mild than the last five days. That advantages Obama, because he's stressing first time young voters, and to someone young weather suddenly 20 degrees warmer is Springtime; but for old ladies, Hillary's superior demographic, 20 degrees warmer still below freezing is still below freezing.
--Occurs to me I don't know the age demographics on the Republican side. I can't believe Mitt would appeal to young people...? He doesn't excite emotion. Grumpy John McCain would excite much more emotion.
--I wonder if Romney's supporters have a supreme arrogance that they're the best people? I just don't see how you can support him without having convinced yourself that you are very superior. That attitude could turn people off during the caucus.
--I wonder if Rush going negative on Huckabee had any influence? It's influence on me was an extreme contempt for Rush.
--These caucuses are a really big deal, though they're only a big deal if Romney and Hillary are wounded. If not, then it will be much like nothing has happened, and the two worst candidates in the world will remain center stage. --Actually, they have already been damaged, because they've both been shown as vulnerable. Still, a win is a win is a win.
-----------
Drudge has a funny headline:
RESULTS:
Clinton 0; Obama 0; Edwards 0
Huckabee 0; Romney 0; McCain 0; Paul 0; Thompson 0; Giuliani 0
-----------
FromYuval Levin.
I don't know who he is or what his views are, but he posted this on The Corner (NRO). He was speaking of Romney:
It is important not to underestimate the costs of nominating a candidate who is just kind of strange in basic human terms....
Over all, the NRO writers are the premier group of Nuts For Romney
------------
Ha!
From Drudge, 8:47 PM
RESULTS:
Obama 36.70; Edwards 30.19; Clinton 30.03
Huckabee 31; Romney 23; Thompson 13; McCain 12
The world is good. These are projections, maybe Clinton will make second? McCain maybe third. But Romney won't make third, so I was off in that prediction, but he would have been third if the anti-Romney hadn't split between Thompson and McCain.
-------------
Newest In:
8:55PM
RESULTS:
Obama 36.98; Edwards 30.05; Clinton 29.75
Huckabee 34; Romney 25; Thompson 14
Margins holding. Don't know where McCain went.
posted by mouse at 6:13 PM
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