Tuesday, October 24, 2006

Pretty Good Post Last Night

I'm pleased with the post I did last night. I think I clarified in my mind a seriousness of motivation that Republicans have and Democrats lack. This difference is a difference in response to the same vision, that of an insidious, sneaky, hideous, violent Islamic threat. Michael Barone sees that same threat and recognizes as do I that it's a threat felt by every American, but he speculates in an opposite direction. He fears that the balance of the American voter's response will be to deny the threat, to forces themselves to a pretense that it doesn't exist, and to vote Democrat and slip again into a holiday from history.

No one can ignore Michael Barone. But this is an open question, not to be settled finally for another two weeks. Which speculation is right?

There is no doubt that Republicans see this threat and are serious.

There is no doubt that the Democrat leadership does not see this threat, or perhaps more accurately, simply denies the threat, and as leadership is not serious.

Republicans will vote. The whole question now is how many who are not Republican will not be serious, will chose frivolity, and will follow Nancy and Jack? Nancy and Jack and Teddy and Harry all hold out a holiday. How many Americans want to buy a ticket? In my own mind I believe that in the private mind of each American, somewhere, is the recognition that that holiday would be a ticket to Bali.

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Note: There is an ongoing referendum on these two competing views, and according to the polls it's now the more grim view that holds a double digit lead. Lieberman 50.5%, Lamont 38%. RCP Average.

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Just heard Karl Rove. Jolly confident pleasant fellow. He analyzes stat-by-state, distric-by-district. "All politics is local." He does admit national issues, primarily the war and the war on terror, will have some influence. That's been my only focus. I have a reason for that singularity: TURNOUT! It's the national atmosphere, the spirit of both seriousness and hope, that determines effort and turnout, and the advantage of this spirit is all to Republicans.
(4:12 PM)

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